Harmonic AgencyAlpha
Pricing Mechanics

A risk-based alternative to the GSE guarantee fee, priced on the credit risk of your loans.

More on our risk-pricing principles.

01 — Risk-based pricing

AgencyAlpha premiums are priced on Arch's risk-based pricing model — not congressional taxes, cross-subsidies, or GSE overhead. The GSE G-fee (65.2 bps average) is a bundle: a Congressional tax remitted to Treasury under TCCA 2011, actual credit risk, cross-subsidy from higher-FICO to lower-FICO borrowers, a liquidity premium on the GSE's MBS guarantee, and GSE overhead and profit. AgencyAlpha prices the loan, not the system — and comes in up to 68 bps below the all-in G-fee across credit tiers and LTV bands.

Compare GSE G-fee to AgencyAlpha pricing →
02 — Insure only the at-risk portion

Loss severity on fully documented conforming loans has not exceeded 50% LTV — even in the worst historical markets. So AgencyAlpha's coverage formula tracks that: Coverage % = (Current LTV − 49.99%) / Current LTV. As the borrower builds equity, less insurance is needed; coverage — and the premium base — shrinks every month, with a hard cliff at 50% LTV. You stop paying for risk that no longer exists.  

See the loss-severity data →
03 — Match coverage duration to risk duration

Default risk peaks in years 3–5 and approaches zero after year 10. A 10-year policy term matches that curve precisely — instead of a GSE structure that collects an average of 651 bps across years 11–30 of a loan's life, long after the risk it's pricing has largely disappeared.

Track coverage duration to risk duration →

Compare the GSE and AgencyAlpha pricing models.

Two scenarios, line by line: an owner-occupied conforming loan, and a second-home / non-owner-occupied pool.

Scenario 1 — Owner-occupied, 80% LTV, FICO 735
Line item GSE AgencyAlpha
Notional / Par $1,000,000,000 $1,000,000,000
Insurance cost / yr −0.71% −0.33%
Base RBC factor 0.16% 0.68%
Diversification factor 75% 75%
Target RBC ratio 500% 500%
Required capital ratio 0.53% 2.55%
Cost of capital 5% 5%
Capital charge % 0.03% 0.13%
Gross yield pickup
+0.38%
Excess capital charge
0.10%
Excess return net of RBC drag
+0.28%
Scenario 2 — Second home / non-owner-occupied, pool of 191 loans as of 7/2/26
Line item GSE AgencyAlpha
Insurance cost / yr −1.05% −0.51%
Base RBC factor 0.16% 0.68%
Diversification factor 75% 75%
Target RBC ratio 500% 500%
Required capital ratio 0.53% 2.55%
Cost of capital 5% 5%
Capital charge % 0.03% 0.13%
Gross yield pickup
+0.54%
Excess capital charge
0.10%
Excess return net of RBC drag
+0.44%

Return and capital figures are illustrative and derived from a model that relies on stated assumptions, including risk-based capital factors, diversification factors, target capital ratios, cost of capital, and guarantee-fee inputs. Results are highly sensitive to these assumptions, which vary by institution. Certain analyses are based on a limited loan sample that may not be representative.

The data behind our 50% loss-severity cliff.

Even at the worst points of the 2008 crisis, loss severities on ≤80% LTV loans peaked in the mid-40s%, never crossing the 50% coverage line AgencyAlpha is built around.

Cumulative fee paid over time, GSE vs. AgencyAlpha
Annual fee by loan year, GSE fee vs. AgencyAlpha

Sources: Goodman & Zhu, "Loss Severity on Residential Mortgages," Urban Institute Housing Finance Policy Center / Journal of Fixed Income, 2015, Freddie Mac loan-level data. An & Cordell, Philadelphia Federal Reserve Working Paper, March 2019.

Historical loss severities reflect specific datasets and time periods and are not a guarantee of future performance. Future severities may exceed historical levels.

Our pricing matches coverage duration with risk duration.

Default risk peaks in years 3–5 and approaches zero after year 10 — a 10-year policy term tracks that curve, instead of a GSE structure that keeps collecting an average of 65 bps across years 11–30, long after the risk has largely disappeared.

Default risk by loan year, post-2009 conforming vs. post-2009 AgencyAlpha-eligible loans

Source: Single-Family Guarantee Fees Report, FHFA, 12/22/25. Data is average for 2024.

AgencyAlpha is less than the G-fee for every credit tier and LTV band.

The AgencyAlpha premium runs up to 68 bps below the all-in G-fee, across the full range of credit tiers and LTV bands.

AgencyAlpha savings vs. G-fee by FICO score and LTV band

Source: Arch MI analysis. G-fee calculation includes LLPA allocation.

See AgencyAlpha pricing for your portfolio.

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Built for GSE-eligible conforming loans, 50%–80% LTV, credit score 620+.